Incident tracking
Country Summary
Although the increase (13%) in TB/AGE activity noted during the reporting period was marginal, uncorroborated reports of increased kinetic activity in various parts of the country indicates a recent influx of fighters from bordering Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) of Pakistan, most likely in anticipation of the spring/summer fighting season. No tactical changes in TB/AGE campaign were observed, with the main focus seemingly remaining on IEDs, Direct Attacks, and Killing/Executions and Assassinations, the latter of which significantly increased during the reporting period. In accordance with past TB/AGE trends and patterns, as the poppy harvest takes place during the month of April, active cells will maintain their reactive posture to protect their narcotic interests and conduct defensive operations without seeking to gain new ground until the poppy harvest is completed – which is predicted to occur in the second week of May. Reporting shows TB/AGE intend to launch their “spring offensive” soon, with some active cells (particularly in the Southeastern and Eastern Regions) already publicly announcing the beginning of their campaigns.
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